CLIMATE CHANGE!

by kucheka on November 3, 2012

A good rundown of the Sandy-climate change connection from Skeptical Science:

Loading the Dice:

  • Humans increased the greenhouse effect.
  • The greenhouse effect caused the planet to warm.
  • The warming planet caused land ice to melt and the oceans to expand.
  • Melting land ice and thermal expansion caused average sea level to rise.
  • Higher sea level made the storm surge worse than it would have been in the past, thus causing more flooding.
  • A warmer atmosphere can hold more water vapor.
  • This allows hurricanes to pull more moisture from the atmosphere.
  • More rainfall during the hurricane causes more widespread flooding.
  • Warmer oceans feed stronger hurricanes.

Gillis:

While it’s impossible to say how this scenario might have unfolded if sea-ice had been as extensive as it was in the 1980s, the situation at hand is completely consistent with what I’d expect to see happen more often as a result of unabated warming and especially the amplification of that warming in the Arctic…

Roberts:

There is no division, in the physical world, between “climate change storms” and “non-climate change storms.” Climate change is not an exogenous force acting on the atmosphere. There is only the atmosphere, changing. Everything that happens in a changed atmosphere is “caused” by the atmosphere, even if it’s within the range of historical variability.

Lewandowsky:

Nearly all weather events now have a contribution from climate change and it is up to us to manage and reduce that risk with mitigative action.

Think about places in the world that have 1/1000th the adaptive capacity as NYC.

And if you feel like punching yourself in the face tonight:

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